马霄扬

Xiaoyang Ma

在伦敦政治经济学院(LSE)读应用社会数据科学。关心劳动力市场,喜欢用数据和计量方法回答真实世界里的经济问题。

Studying Applied Social Data Science at the LSE. I care about labour markets, and I like answering real-world economic questions with data and econometrics.

失业 job loss 没有失业的话 without job loss 工资疤痕 wage scar
示意图,不是真实数据。失业之后,工资往往很多年都回不到原来的轨道,这道差距就是“工资疤痕”,也是我毕业项目研究的问题。
Illustration, not real data. After a spell of unemployment, wages often stay below their old path for years. That gap is the wage scar, and it is what my capstone project studies.

现在在做Now

南非的工资疤痕效应 The wage scarring effect in South Africa

LSE 毕业项目(capstone),进行中。南非是全世界失业率最高的国家之一,我想弄清楚:一段失业经历,会让一个人之后的工资被压低多少、持续多久。

My LSE capstone project, in progress. South Africa has one of the highest unemployment rates in the world. I want to find out how much a spell of unemployment lowers a person’s later wages, and for how long.

  • 劳动经济学
  • Labour economics
  • 面板数据
  • Panel data
  • Python

教育经历Education

  1. 2026–2027
    伦敦政治经济学院(LSE)London School of Economics (LSE)

    应用社会数据科学硕士(MSc ASDS)

    MSc Applied Social Data Science

  2. 2023–2026
    诺丁汉大学University of Nottingham

    本科

    Undergraduate

过往项目Past projects

通胀数据能让失业率预测更准吗?英国与德国 Does inflation data improve unemployment forecasts? UK and Germany

用 OECD 季度数据比较 AR 与 ARDL 模型,以 AIC 和 Breusch-Godfrey 检验选模型,再对 2016–2019 年做样本外预测,用 MSE 和 MAE 评估准确度。

Compared AR and ARDL models on quarterly OECD data, selected models with AIC and Breusch-Godfrey tests, then produced out-of-sample forecasts for 2016–2019 and scored them with MSE and MAE.

  • Python
  • pandas
  • statsmodels
  • Matplotlib
  • scikit-learn

女性董事会提升公司业绩吗?面板数据分析 Do female directors improve firm performance? A panel data study

基于 2008–2016 年英国公司面板数据,用 ROA 和托宾 Q 衡量业绩,做异方差检验与稳健标准误,并检验非线性关系和公司规模的调节作用。

Using a 2008–2016 panel of UK companies, measured performance with ROA and Tobin’s Q, ran heteroscedasticity tests with robust standard errors, and tested for non-linear effects and moderation by firm size.

  • Python
  • pandas
  • statsmodels
  • Seaborn

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